Relations between Zimbabwe and China could sour after revelations nationals from the Asian country are mopping hard currency from the economy, creating a cash crisis that has triggered panic in government.
China is considered an all-weather ally by President Robert Mugabe’s government, which has been rocked by Western economic sanctions for nearly 15 years.
The cash crisis has been compounded by a dollar drain in the economy, created by an escalation of imports that has diminished the stock of money in the country.
Exports have been shrinking at a time imports have been soaring, forcing government to come up with a raft of measures that appear to have failed to make an impact in the wake of the alleged clean up of cash to offshore banks through the country’s porous borders.
“They are taking the cash outside the country and depositing it with their bank in South Africa,” a bank executive said this week. His claim was corroborated by at least three other bankers who declined to be named.
George Guvamatanga, the managing director of Barclays Bank Zimbabwe, one of the largest importers of United States dollar notes in the country, said it was true “someone was taking the cash out of the country”, but declined to say if it was the Chinese.
“We are bringing brand new notes into the country, but these notes are not coming back into the banking system as deposits. I can argue that someone is keeping these brand new notes, or taking them somewhere,” Guvamatanga said.
Guvamatanga insisted the cash imported by banks and the central bank in the first quarter of this year was “adequate for our cash requirements”.
During the first quarter of this year, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) imported US$145 million worth of notes, while banks imported an additional US$118 million in notes.
This, said Guvamatanga, was enough for Zimbabwe’s “transactional purposes”.
“The cash shortages are a reflection of a deep-seated problem; someone is taking the imported, brand new notes somewhere,” he said.
RBZ governor, John Mangudya, said he was not in a position “to confirm the amounts or the nationalities of those hoarding and exporting cash from Zimbabwe,” saying it was imperative to deal with the issue of cash externalisation “from a national perspective”.
“The temptation of challenge of externalisation of cash or foreign exchange is high in economies like Zimbabwe that use foreign exchange as its domestic currency, especially at a time when business sentiment is low coupled by a strong US dollar and low productivity,” Mangudya said in response to question from the Financial Gazette while attending the World Bank and International Monetary Fund Spring meetings in Washington.
He said as highlighted in his monetary policy statement in January, the country needed to come up with a “plug the leakages strategy” to enhance efficient utilisation of hard-earned foreign currency and ensure it did not “go out of the country on foot, transferred or remitted through banks or carried on person by people”.
“On our part, we are putting in place measures to plug the leakages so that the cash we are importing to address the cash shortages remains or is retained in Zimbabwe. Other players like ZIMRA (Zimbabwe Revenue Authority), for example, would also need to play their part,” he said.
A bank executive who declined to be named told the Financial Gazette: “This is no longer a secret. We have seen the Chinese from Zimbabwe with suitcases depositing cash with a Chinese bank in Johannesburg.”
The Chinese bank in South Africa offers a full bouquet of products and services. It is also a deposit-taking institution.
Last month, a Chinese national with a bookstore in Murehwa was arrested at the Harare International Airport trying to externalise US$32 000 to China. The businessman, who was convicted by the courts, had hidden US$10 000 around his waist and US$20 000 inside his hand luggage. Only US$2 000 was in the wallet. He was fined US$200.
Mangudya said the fine imposed in this case did not help to address the challenge of externalisation.
“We also advocate the re-establishment of an Economic Crimes Court to deal with such matters,” he said.
Chinese entrepreneurs have penetrated all economic sectors in Zimbabwe’s fragile economy. They make bricks, bottled water, operate bookshops, and are also extensively involved in mining and the buying of precious minerals.
A source from the RBZ indicated that although there were many Chinese nationals operating gold mines, very few sold the minerals to Fidelity Printers and Refineries, an RBZ-owned gold buying company.
It’s not just the currency that you are talking about; it’s also ivory and precious stones. A few of them have been arrested but the fines have not been deterrent,” said the RBZ official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.
Last year, Chinese diamond mining firm, Jinan Mining, was said to have externalised US$546 million through an offshore transaction. Although the matter was reported to police for investigations, it was quickly swept under the carpet.
Bankers said the Jinan case was “just the tip of an iceberg”.
As a result of the current cash crisis, banks have been limiting daily cash withdrawals, damaging public confidence in a sector the RBZ and other stakeholders have been working hard to restore.
Public confidence had been eroded by a spate of bank failures, as well as worsening cash shortages that resulted in depositors failing to withdraw their money during a hyperinflationary crisis that forced government to ditch the domestic currency in favour of a multiple currency regime in 2009.
Although a few more banks twisted in the wind following dollarisation of the economy, the banking sector was slowly regaining public trust.
Sources indicated that there was political concern over the cash shortages which emerged against the backdrop of growing restlessness in the country, battling high unemployment caused by company closures and job losses.
“This has disturbed the political system,” a ruling party source said.
President Mugabe was last week to take the unprecedented step to invalidate an indigenisation and economic empowerment campaign led by Youth, Indigenisation and Economic Empowerment Minister, Patrick Zhuwao, in a bid to calm investors and banks, whom he sought to reassure after months of speculation.
Zhuwao, who is President Mugabe’s nephew, had given foreign-owned companies an ultimatum to close if they failed to comply with the country’s Indigenisation and Economic Empowerment Act by March 31, 2016.
The Act compels all foreign-owned firms to cede at least 51 percent of their shareholding to indigenous blacks.
But Mangudya had moved to protect banks, saying he was satisfied with the level of compliance in the sector. He had then been publicly supported by Finance and Economic Development Minister, Patrick Chinamasa, prompting a row with Zhuwao who publicly scolded Chinamasa and Mangudya, accusing them of ignorance.
Bankers said the economy was also facing cash shortages emanating from a rising import bill, which has not been matched by rising exports.
They said imports were likely to grow further this year due to a drought situation, which will result in increased purchase of grain from other countries to feed the nation. Electricity shortages also meant that the country’s power utility would import more electricity to meet demand.
“This will create much higher demand for Nostros,” said one banker. “We’re obviously consuming much more than we can produce.”
Nostro accounts are bank accounts held in a foreign country by domestic banks; they are used to facilitate settlement of foreign exchange and trade transactions. Nostro accounts are funded by export proceeds, Diaspora remittances, offshore credit lines and foreign direct investment, among other things.
Mangudya said the country needed to embrace the ‘Make and Buy Zimbabwe’ drive “to reduce import dependence and move away from the consumptive philosophy”.
“We should not continue to abuse hard-earned foreign exchange from tobacco, gold and platinum to import trinkets,” he said.
In his monetary policy statement in January, Mangudya had increased financial institutions’ nostro limits from five percent to 10 percent of a bank’s total deposits, saying this would improve liquidity. He also highlighted that illicit financial flows (IFFs) and other capital flight remittances constituted a major threat to the development of the economy.
IFFs, he said, included trade mispricing and bulk cash movement and these caused “heavy losses in government revenues, foregone investment, financial fragility and lost output”.
“In the case of Zimbabwe, the financial haemorrhage from capital flight is exacerbated by the openness of the economy which is susceptible to regional disruptive arbitrage activities (as businesses in the region scramble to get access to US dollars from a dollarised Zimbabwe),” he said.
He said bank statistics showed that between January and December 2015, a total of US$684 million was externalised by individuals “under the auspices of free funds for various dubious and unwarranted purposes”.
“This rampant export of liquidity is not sustainable,” he said, before announcing limits on physical cash export by individuals. Financial Gazette